• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1741

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Jul 20 23:08:22 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 202308
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 202307=20
    MAZ000-MEZ000-NHZ000-RIZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-210030-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1741
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0607 PM CDT Sun Jul 20 2025

    Areas affected...Parts of southeast New England

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 530...

    Valid 202307Z - 210030Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 530
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Damaging wind remains possible this evening before storms
    move offshore.

    DISCUSSION...A small cluster of storms has recently intensified and
    produced some reports of wind damage, and will likely continue to
    pose some severe threat to the coast, within a modestly unstable and
    favorably sheared environment. An embedded supercell within this
    cluster could also pose a short-term threat for a brief tornado.=20

    Storms farther north into eastern MA have been somewhat less
    organized, but the KBOX VWP currently shows moderate (25-35 kt)
    westerly flow in the 1-3 km AGL layer, and there is some potential
    for these storms to locally intensify and pose at least a localized
    wind-damage threat before moving offshore later this evening.

    ..Dean.. 07/20/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-ppzkrj1jkMtp0nAFTRhn3Me1NWIMvHyGC5NbX04Dg3vUuHhz7UYLQ1ebRrW028FxkggnuwKd= LP_gLZ7EkOmGXx__ys$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...OKX...ALY...

    LAT...LON 40837250 40847307 41257316 41577314 41697284 41977175
    42477147 43307097 43237063 42447034 41617052 41197116
    40907236 40837250=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


    =3D =3D =3D
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