ACUS11 KWNS 201835
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 201835=20
WVZ000-OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-202130-

Mesoscale Discussion 1737
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0135 PM CDT Sun Jul 20 2025

Areas affected...southern Indiana and Ohio...northern Kentucky

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 201835Z - 202130Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...A few strong storms producing locally damaging gusts
cannot be ruled out later this afternoon from southern Indiana
across southern Ohio and northeast Kentucky.

DISCUSSION...An MCV continues to move rapidly eastward across
northern IN, well north of a stalled front draped across southern
IL/IN and southwest OH. Meanwhile, a very moist air mass remains
near this boundary, with heating occurring upstream across the Mid
MS and OH Valleys.

While the entire warm sector is unstable, areas near the front exist
beneath slightly stronger deep-layer mean winds, on the southern
periphery of the larger scale trough (and MCV) influence.

Visible imagery show increasing CU fields from southern IN into
northern and eastern KY, and scattered storms are likely within this
zone. Locally strong downbursts will be possible, but any more
substantial wind threat would be conditional on a large cluster of
storms producing outflow, and tracking east/southeast near the
boundary. At this time, it appears a watch will not be necessary.

..Jewell/Smith.. 07/20/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_lnh8Y-6S6PWyXcNJtKAoYU5H7p29Rv05jh_kEtmGsObjcCGfytTsi5CvH4fvcGLko_AFygFW= d7LNv5WCa8jNKnLPVs$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...IND...

LAT...LON 39608450 39658393 39708357 39688308 39568274 39208236
38848232 38338246 38068281 37818335 37928396 38148477
38418645 38568698 38918712 39298693 39478664 39558561
39608450=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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