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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1728

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat Jul 19 22:53:13 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 192253
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 192252=20
    NEZ000-200015-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1728
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0552 PM CDT Sat Jul 19 2025

    Areas affected...Central Nebraska

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 526...

    Valid 192252Z - 200015Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 526 continues.

    SUMMARY...Large to very-large hail, severe winds, and a tornado or
    two remain possible. The greatest tornado risk will be with
    supercells near I-80 in south-central Nebraska this evening.

    DISCUSSION...Two areas of more intense activity are evident in
    regional radar imagery. A severe storm southeast of Ainsworth has a
    history of producing large hail. This storm will continue moving
    southeastward. A continued risk for large hail and severe winds will
    accompany this storm, though a pocket of cooler air is also noted in
    surface observations downstream.

    Another cluster of storms near and east of North Platte will
    continue southeast, roughly along I-80. The lead supercell has had a
    history of producing 2.75-3 inch measured hail. Activity to the west
    produced 1.75 inch hail in North Platte recently. Should the lead
    supercell maintain intensity, it would pose the greatest tornado
    risk. Low-level hodographs will marginally improve this evening,
    though the low-level jet response in southern Nebraska is not
    expected to be strong.

    ..Wendt.. 07/19/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_t8aUeVD8iia4Ld5iFn5T9QTTKsj_32GkMBUseLpa_9n_chhEtOPRJ1o32o5NT25ZgbJHFFz9= s8QopI24Vf3yMx6FOY$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...GLD...

    LAT...LON 41010106 41400090 41690032 41729986 41789966 41979964
    42149969 42689976 42859955 42719892 42609865 42179842
    41879852 41629904 41149910 40769911 40379948 40189970
    40149993 40310043 41010106=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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