ACUS11 KWNS 192251
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 192250=20
VAZ000-MDZ000-NCZ000-200015-

Mesoscale Discussion 1727
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0550 PM CDT Sat Jul 19 2025

Areas affected...Central and eastern Virginia...north-central and
northeastern North Carolina

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 526...

Valid 192250Z - 200015Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 526
continues.

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue moving east/northeast across
the watch area through early evening, posing a risk for
strong/isolated damaging gusts.

DISCUSSION...A couple clusters of thunderstorms continue to move
generally east/northeast across central and eastern portions of the
watch area at of 2250z. Moderate instability (MLCAPE 2000-locally
2500 J/kg) and around 25 kts of westerly shear will continue to
support a loosely-organized multicell cluster storm mode, with
isolated potential for strong/locally damaging gusts. A northward
lifting outflow boundary in between the James River and middle
Peninsula may serve to concentrate the potential for a longer-lived
cluster of storms in this area in the next 2 to 3 hours.

..Bunting.. 07/19/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_P4Jd4akYpmDy7_7dAgT9-a0k3GUGXY-CrOFAJji14QAta9rsoK8Yr_h9k1HUjCyus0kiR-dt= wbwQh75Nmw1jU5Yxuc$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RAH...RNK...

LAT...LON 36297556 36127758 36237817 36427859 37327855 37937809
38217783 38447751 38367690 38287640 38127612 37767581
37087593 36297556=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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